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Cohort study, 1990

Can premenstrual depression predict whether a woman will develop major depression later?

Yes, women whose premenstrual depression scores are higher have a greater risk of developing major depression in the future, and this predictive value holds even after accounting for family history and past depression.

Early or limited evidence 36 women who had volunteered for previous menstrual cycle research studies

What they did

36 women who had participated in previous menstrual cycle studies were assessed for the severity of their premenstrual depression using two different scales. They were then followed over time to track who developed major depressive disorder.

What they found

Premenstrual depression scores were significantly correlated with the development of major depression during follow-up, with a correlation of r equals 0.35. These scores had predictive value above and beyond two known major risk factors for major depression: family history of depression and the woman's own past history of depression. Scores from the Premenstrual Change Index were also correlated with developing major depression but did not add additional predictive power.

What it means for you

Premenstrual depression may be a useful marker to identify women at higher risk for developing major depression. However, this was a very small study of only 36 women followed over an unspecified time period, so results should be confirmed in larger studies.

36

women followed

0.35

correlation between premenstrual depression and future major depression

About the study

Original title
Premenstrual depression predicts future major depressive disorder
Authors
Graze KK, Nee J, Endicott J
Journal
Acta psychiatrica Scandinavica
Year
1990
Study design
Cohort study
Participants
36
What was tested
None, observational follow-up study

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